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AMAZON SERVICES

Stop Guessing Inventory. Start Treating Amazon Like a Real Demand Channel.

Running out of stock kills rank and revenue. Overstock kills margin and cash. We build and run an Amazon-specific inventory and FBA forecasting system around your lead times, MOQs, capacity, and cash flow—so you're not flying blind or constantly reacting.

Talk About Your Inventory Problem

See Full Amazon Management

Experience across

FBA, 3PL, hybrid, Vendor + Seller

Worked with

Manufacturers, beverage, CPG, hardware, and beauty

Not for flipping a few units, but

Built for brands doing real volume

You Need Inventory & FBA Forecasting If…

You've stocked out on key SKUs at the worst possible time (seasonal, promo, retailer tie-in).

You routinely overbuy, tie up cash, and pay FBA storage like a charity.

Your ops team 'gets' inventory but doesn't understand Amazon behavior and rank decay.

Marketing wants to scale ads, but inventory can't keep up.

Leadership never sees a clean, believable Amazon demand forecast.

You're moving from Vendor → Seller and FBA is now your problem.

Filter (blunt):

If Amazon is a rounding error in your business, you don't need this. If Amazon materially impacts your P&L or your board looks at it, you do.

What's Included in Serious Inventory & FBA Forecasting

Demand & Forecast Modeling (Channel-Specific)

12–18 month demand model for Amazon (by SKU or product family)

Base demand + promo demand + seasonal / event demand

Forecasts built using your historicals (if available) + category behavior

Sensitivity modeling based on ad spend and price changes

Supply, Lead Times & Constraints Mapping

Full mapping of: Production lead times, MOQs, Freight modes & timelines (sea, air, LTL, FTL), 3PL handling time, FBA check-in behavior

Integration of your actual capacity constraints (not fantasy numbers)

Practical reorder point logic based on risk tolerance

Catalog Architecture & Cleanup Plan

FBA vs FBM vs 3PL hybrid recommendations

Storage limits and restock limits planning

Carton/pallet config optimized for Amazon's stupid rules

Staggered shipments vs big bulk sends

Avoiding long-term storage and aged inventory fees

Planning for Q4 / Prime events / major promos

Reporting & Decision Support

Simple forecasting reports for leadership

Clear action items: what to order, when, and why

Scenarios for 'if we increase budget' / 'if we launch this SKU'

Integration with ad strategy and launch roadmap

Monthly review + adjustments as new data comes in

Most Inventory "Planning" Ignores How Amazon Actually Works.

Forecasting isn't "guessing with a spreadsheet."
It's designing how much risk you're willing to carry in each SKU.

Typical internal approach:

Pull 30/60/90-day sales

Apply a multiplier

Ignore lost sales from stockouts

Ignore ranking decay

Ignore FBA storage and restock limits

Hope next quarter looks like last quarter

What we do instead:

Rebuild demand including missed sales (out of stocks, suppressed listings)

Model forward with events, promos, seasonal patterns

Bake in Amazon policy and operational behavior (FBA check-in, limits, etc.)

Align with ad strategy and catalog decisions

Present a plan that finance, ops, and marketing can all live with

How We Build Your Amazon Inventory & FBA System

01

Data & Constraint Intake

Pull historical Amazon data (sales, stock, ads). Collect lead times, MOQs, freight options. Understand your warehouse / 3PL setup. Define risk tolerance: 'never stock out' vs 'maximize cash efficiency'.

Deliverable: Inputs + risk profile.

02

Forecast Build

Build baseline demand by SKU or group. Layer in: seasonality, promos, catalog changes, pricing. Create scenarios: conservative / expected / aggressive. Align with channel strategy (what SKUs we're actually pushing).

Deliverable: Forecast model + explanation.

03

FBA & Replenishment Plan

Translate forecasts into: Order sizes, Ship dates, FBA replenishment frequency. Design 'playbooks' for: Normal weeks, Major promo periods, Problem scenarios (delays, stockouts, etc.).

Deliverable: FBA & replenishment playbook.

04

Monthly Review & Adjustment (If Ongoing)

Compare actuals vs forecast. Adjust for changes in: demand, ads, pricing, or lead times. Flag SKUs at risk (overstock / understock). Feed insights into your production and purchasing teams.

Deliverable: Monthly inventory and demand report.

Real Client Scenarios

Beverage brand

constant stockouts on hero SKUs. We rebuilt the forecast and FBA plan, cutting stockouts dramatically and stabilizing rank.

Hardware brand

drowning in slow-moving SKUs in FBA. We re-structured assortment and forecasting, reducing aged inventory and storage fees.

Former Vendor brand

had no idea how much to send into FBA post-transition. We built a Seller-side demand model and paired it with controlled ad growth.

Standalone if You Have Ops.
Embedded if We Manage Your Channel.

Option A

Standalone Inventory & FBA Engagement

For brands with internal Amazon ops, but no real demand model.

One-time forecasting system build

Setup of reports and rules

Handoff to your internal team

Optional quarterly tuning

Option B

Part of Full-Service Amazon Management

For brands that want zero ambiguity.

Inventory & FBA forecasting is built into:

Channel Ownership Program

Vendor-to-Seller Transition Program

We manage the whole channel and inventory planning is baked into it.

Frequently Asked Questions

Both are possible. We often start with clean, structured spreadsheets, then your internal tech team can wire it into ERP if needed.

No. Anyone who says yes is lying. We design the plan based on your risk tolerance and constraints, and you decide how aggressive or conservative to be.

Yes. We model Vendor demand, Seller demand, and how they interact.

Yes, but it's better if we have a directional idea. We can create multiple scenarios.